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Highlights of the May Real Estate Market

The first Bank of Canada rate cut since 2020 – now what?

  • The Bank of Canada cut interest rates for the first time since 2020, providing a small relief for variable-rate mortgages and lines of credit. This could be a signal for buyers to re-enter the market, with more rate cuts potentially coming in July.

Active listings in Greater Vancouver are up 46% from last year

  • Greater Vancouver saw a significant increase in active listings, up 46% year-over-year, with a notable rise in townhouses and condos.

Buyers are being patient; sales dipped in May

  • Despite the influx of new listings, sales dipped in May, with buyers showing patience. Total sales in Greater Vancouver were down 20% from May 2023 and 3% from April 2024.

Watch the Micro Markets closely

  • The market activity varies significantly across different areas and property types. For example, detached houses on Vancouver’s West Side remain competitive, while condos under $1 million are slower to sell.

Prices are relatively flat and some are down in the last 6 months

  • Overall, prices have remained flat or have decreased slightly over the last six months, influenced by the increased supply and cautious buyer behavior.

Market Insights

  • Sales and Listings Trends: Active listings in Greater Vancouver reached 13,600 by the end of May, up from 12,491 in April and 10,552 in March. New listings in May were 6,484, down from the April peak but still robust compared to historical averages.

  • Micro Market Variations:

    • Vancouver Westside: Sales increased by 6% from April but were down 20% year-over-year.

    • Vancouver East Side: Sales decreased by 5% from April and 9% year-over-year, with active listings up 45% from last year.

    • North Vancouver: Sales were almost flat from April, with active listings up 55% year-over-year.

  • Inventory and Supply: The overall months of supply in Greater Vancouver increased to 5 months, indicating a balanced market, though specific areas like North Vancouver and Port Coquitlam remain more competitive with lower months of supply.

  • Buyer and Seller Dynamics: Buyers are cautious, likely influenced by the high-interest rates and anticipation of further rate cuts. Sellers, motivated by various factors including regulatory changes and capital gains, have increased listing activity, providing more options in the market.

Conclusion

The Greater Vancouver real estate market is in a state of flux, with a significant rise in listings and cautious buyer activity. The recent rate cut by the Bank of Canada could shift the dynamics, potentially spurring more buyer engagement in the coming months. However, the market's micro-variations mean that both buyers and sellers need to stay informed and adaptable to the ongoing changes.

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